![]() The substantial increase in youth turnout is in many ways the culmination of an election cycle in which young people had an extraordinary impact through their activism, emphasis on voter registration, and-yesterday-overwhelming support for Democratic candidates. That number, the youth share of the vote, matches the 13% share in 2014 and is generally similar to the number in the last six midterm cycles since 1994 indeed, the youth share has remained relatively steady, between 11% and 13%, in all those previous elections. In addition, preliminary national exit poll data indicate that 13% of all votes cast in 2018 House elections came from youth ages 18-29. The 31% turnout estimate represents millions more young people casting votes in yesterday’s election, compared to who voted in 2014 according to our day-after estimate. We estimate that this is by far the highest level of participation among youth in the past quarter century-the last seven midterm elections during which we’ve been using this same calculation method. In May 2019 we updated our estimate of youth turnout to 28%.ĬIRCLE is estimating today that roughly 31% of youth (ages 18-29) turned out to vote in the 2018 midterms, an extraordinary increase over our estimate in 2014, when our day-after exit poll calculation suggested that 21% of eligible young voters went to the polls. Note: Below you'll find analyses conducted by CIRCLE in the hours immediately following the 2018 midterm elections with the best available data at that time.
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